Friday, February 4, 2011

Steelers vs. Packers: Super Bowl XLV Rodeo In Texas

Alright! The time is upon us. The big game! The one that all NFL players work so hard to try to reach. The one that they think about as they work through two-a-days in the sweltering heat of training camp. The one that they sacrifice their body and mind for. It's Super Bowl time! After having a weekend without a real game, it is time to get it on! And as you are well aware of already from all of the hype, Super Bowl XLV features the Pittsburgh Steelers against the Green Bay Packers (-2.5) at Cowboys Stadium in Arlington, Texas.

I think that we lucked out as fans and spectators with this game because it is a great matchup. I really can see either team winning a close battle. The Packers have charged into the Super Bowl in playoff mode since Week 16 of the regular season. They have won five consecutive games in five weeks. My one concern for them is the extra week off they just experienced. Will that hurt the rhythm on offense at all? Or, are they due for an "off" game? And what about the Steelers? Will the extra week off, their second off week of the playoffs, hurt them at all? Ironically, both teams had similar championship games in that they jumped out to convincing first half leads, only to be shut down in the second half and nearly lose the game. Will the Steelers be able to pick up what the Chicago Bears did to the Packers defensively in the second half of the NFC Championship game? I think that is the key to the game for them. The Steelers do not want to fall prey to what the Bears and the Atlanta Falcons did in the playoffs against the Packers and that is fall behind big. Though the Steelers can move the ball, I think they will be hurt if they have to try to play "catchup" and get into a one dimensional passing mode. They will need their running game to succeed. So the Steelers defensive coordinator Dick Lebeau will have to come up with a combination of schemes to stop the Packers from spreading them out and gaining big chunks of yards in the passing game. Conversely, the Packers will have to find a way to be effective passing the ball since the Steelers are the number one run defense in the league.  On defense, I think the Packers can contain the Steelers offense. The one thing the Packers defense should do that the New York Jets defense did not do in the AFC Championship game is capitalize on the Steelers banged up offensive line, especially with C Maurkice Pouncey being a no-go due to a ankle sprain. They will also have to do a better job than the Jets in stopping Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger in key moments. Roethlisberger's overall numbers were not impressive against the Jets but he made clutch plays when his team needed them.

So the Packers will need to execute in their passing game and take advantage of the Steelers offensive line on defense. The Steelers will have to keep the Packers offense in check and not fall behind by a large margin. The Steelers also will have to get their running game going and stay away from going heavy in the passing game (though I do think the Steelers speedy wideouts can cause havoc on the Packers secondary). While I do believe this game could go either way, I think Packers QB Aaron Rodgers will stay hot for one more week and bring the Lombardi Trophy back to Green Bay. Take the Packers and give the -2.5 points.

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